Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for ADSL?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

-7.1% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹119

Historical Growth

17.8%

FCF Yield

13.16%

Price / FCF

7.6x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $118.96, ADSL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -7.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 25.0% slower than its historical growth rate of 17.8%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Implied-7.1%₹119+0.2%
Half implied-3.6%₹148+24.7%
GDP rate10.0%₹380+219.7%
Historical17.8%₹680+471.8%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 3 years for ADSL to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 17.8%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.