Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for AGI?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

reasonable

10.4% implied annual FCF growth

The market's growth assumption looks achievable for a quality business. This is within normal range — the stock is not pricing in heroic execution.

Current Price

₹569

Historical Growth

8.6%

FCF Yield

4.74%

Price / FCF

21.1x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $568.95, AGI.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 10.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 1.9% faster than its historical growth rate of 8.6%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Half implied5.2%₹354-37.7%
Historical8.6%₹482-15.3%
GDP rate10.0%₹546-4.0%
Implied10.4%₹568-0.2%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 17 years for AGI to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 8.6%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.