Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for AIRAN?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
3.0% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹17
Historical Growth
3.3%
FCF Yield
7.31%
Price / FCF
13.7x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $17.31, AIRAN.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 3.0% per year for the next 10 years. That is 0.3% slower than its historical growth rate of 3.3%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 1.5% | ₹15 | -10.5% |
| Implied | 3.0% | ₹17 | +0.3% |
| Historical | 3.3% | ₹18 | +2.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹29 | +70.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for AIRAN to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 3.3%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.