Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ALKALI?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
8.5% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹66
Historical Growth
-1.3%
FCF Yield
6.11%
Price / FCF
16.4x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $66.35, ALKALI.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 8.5% per year for the next 10 years. That is 9.8% faster than its historical growth rate of -1.3%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -1.3% | ₹22 | -66.2% |
| Half implied | 4.2% | ₹43 | -35.2% |
| Implied | 8.5% | ₹66 | -0.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹76 | +15.2% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.