Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for ALLCARGO?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

5.2% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹9

Historical Growth

17.8%

FCF Yield

12.73%

Price / FCF

7.9x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $9.29, ALLCARGO.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 5.2% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.7% slower than its historical growth rate of 17.8%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Half implied2.6%₹6-36.6%
Implied5.2%₹9-0.5%
GDP rate10.0%₹18+91.0%
Historical17.8%₹40+335.3%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 3 years for ALLCARGO to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 17.8%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.