Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ALOKINDS?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
unrealistic
37.7% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in hyper-growth that virtually no established company has sustained for 10 years. This implies either a structural disruption scenario or significant overvaluation.
Current Price
₹14
Historical Growth
-3.6%
FCF Yield
2.56%
Price / FCF
39.0x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $13.89, ALOKINDS.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 37.7% per year for the next 10 years. That is 41.3% faster than its historical growth rate of -3.6%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -3.6% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| Half implied | 18.8% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| Implied | 37.7% | ₹14 | -0.7% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.