Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for ATGL?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

very aggressive

25.2% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 10.0%. High execution risk.

Current Price

₹590

Historical Growth

10.0%

FCF Yield

1.07%

Price / FCF

93.1x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $590.05, ATGL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 25.2% per year for the next 10 years. That is 15.2% faster than its historical growth rate of 10.0%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.

Adjust Assumptions

9.8%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
GDP rate10.0%₹169-71.3%
Historical10.0%₹169-71.3%
Half implied12.6%₹212-64.2%
Implied25.2%₹594+0.7%

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.