Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for BRNL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
aggressive
13.9% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in above-average growth. Achievable for a high-quality business but leaves limited margin for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
Current Price
₹21
Historical Growth
-5.0%
FCF Yield
10.92%
Price / FCF
9.2x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $20.98, BRNL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 13.9% per year for the next 10 years. That is 18.9% faster than its historical growth rate of -5.0%. This is optimistic but not impossible for a high-quality business. The stock leaves little room for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -5.0% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| Half implied | 7.0% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹2 | -90.5% |
| Implied | 13.9% | ₹21 | -0.5% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.