Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for CGCL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
25.7% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 20.0%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹180
Historical Growth
20.0%
FCF Yield
3.08%
Price / FCF
32.5x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $179.97, CGCL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 25.7% per year for the next 10 years. That is 5.7% faster than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. At its historical growth rate, the stock would take 16 years to justify today's price. The market is effectively paying for a perfect future.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| Half implied | 12.9% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| Historical | 20.0% | ₹67 | -62.9% |
| Implied | 25.7% | ₹178 | -1.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 16 years for CGCL to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 20.0%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.