Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for CGPOWER?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

very aggressive

28.0% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 16.4%. High execution risk.

Current Price

₹752

Historical Growth

16.4%

FCF Yield

0.83%

Price / FCF

121.0x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $751.60, CGPOWER.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 28.0% per year for the next 10 years. That is 11.6% faster than its historical growth rate of 16.4%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.

Adjust Assumptions

9.8%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
GDP rate10.0%₹184-75.5%
Half implied14.0%₹253-66.4%
Historical16.4%₹306-59.3%
Implied28.0%₹750-0.2%

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.