Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for ELECTHERM?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

-2.0% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹775

Historical Growth

-0.2%

FCF Yield

24.26%

Price / FCF

4.1x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $775.05, ELECTHERM.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -2.0% per year for the next 10 years. That is 1.7% slower than its historical growth rate of -0.2%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Implied-2.0%₹777+0.2%
Half implied-1.0%₹908+17.2%
Historical-0.2%₹1,015+31.0%
GDP rate10.0%₹3,369+334.7%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 3 years for ELECTHERM to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of -0.2%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.