Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for EXXARO?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
reasonable
11.3% implied annual FCF growth
The market's growth assumption looks achievable for a quality business. This is within normal range — the stock is not pricing in heroic execution.
Current Price
₹7
Historical Growth
-0.9%
FCF Yield
5.01%
Price / FCF
19.9x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $6.97, EXXARO.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 11.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.2% faster than its historical growth rate of -0.9%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -0.9% | ₹2 | -77.6% |
| Half implied | 5.7% | ₹4 | -45.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹6 | -12.3% |
| Implied | 11.3% | ₹7 | +0.0% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.