Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for FDC?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
unrealistic
47.0% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in hyper-growth that virtually no established company has sustained for 10 years. This implies either a structural disruption scenario or significant overvaluation.
Current Price
₹394
Historical Growth
4.5%
FCF Yield
0.20%
Price / FCF
494.7x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹422.00, FDC.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 47.0% per year for the next 10 years. That is 42.5% faster than its historical growth rate of 4.5%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | 4.5% | ₹18 | -95.6% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹27 | -93.5% |
| Half implied | 23.5% | ₹76 | -81.9% |
| Implied | 47.0% | ₹422 | +0.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 4.5% growth, the model values FDC at ₹18, below today's ₹394.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.