Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for HMAAGRO?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

5.3% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹25

Historical Growth

11.4%

FCF Yield

8.31%

Price / FCF

12.0x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $24.65, HMAAGRO.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 5.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 6.1% slower than its historical growth rate of 11.4%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Half implied2.7%₹18-25.0%
Implied5.3%₹25-0.4%
GDP rate10.0%₹39+57.5%
Historical11.4%₹44+79.4%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 3 years for HMAAGRO to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 11.4%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.

HMAAGRO Reverse DCF — Market Implies 5.3% FCF Growth | YieldIQ