Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for IRCON?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
4.8% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹142
Historical Growth
2.0%
FCF Yield
5.81%
Price / FCF
17.2x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $141.95, IRCON.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 4.8% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.8% faster than its historical growth rate of 2.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | 2.0% | ₹113 | -20.2% |
| Half implied | 2.4% | ₹117 | -17.5% |
| Implied | 4.8% | ₹142 | +0.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹217 | +53.0% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.