Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for MRF?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
5.5% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹1,38,760
Historical Growth
18.0%
FCF Yield
5.17%
Price / FCF
19.4x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $138760.00, MRF.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 5.5% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.5% slower than its historical growth rate of 18.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 2.8% | ₹1,09,756 | -20.9% |
| Implied | 5.5% | ₹1,38,543 | -0.2% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹2,01,825 | +45.4% |
| Historical | 18.0% | ₹3,88,773 | +180.2% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for MRF to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 18.0%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.