Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for NILAINFRA?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-9.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹8
Historical Growth
20.0%
FCF Yield
17.54%
Price / FCF
5.7x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $8.25, NILAINFRA.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -9.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 29.1% slower than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
Adjust Assumptions
Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied | -9.1% | ₹8 | +0.1% |
| Half implied | -4.5% | ₹11 | +37.1% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹34 | +306.8% |
| Historical | 20.0% | ₹72 | +778.1% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for NILAINFRA to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 20.0%.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.