Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for NRAIL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
aggressive
11.3% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in above-average growth. Achievable for a high-quality business but leaves limited margin for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
Current Price
₹478
Historical Growth
5.3%
FCF Yield
6.94%
Price / FCF
14.4x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $477.85, NRAIL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 11.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 6.0% faster than its historical growth rate of 5.3%. This is optimistic but not impossible for a high-quality business. The stock leaves little room for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | 5.3% | ₹162 | -66.1% |
| Half implied | 5.7% | ₹175 | -63.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹393 | -17.7% |
| Implied | 11.3% | ₹475 | -0.6% |
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.