Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for PGHL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
aggressive
17.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in above-average growth. Achievable for a high-quality business but leaves limited margin for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
Current Price
₹5,119
Historical Growth
-2.0%
FCF Yield
2.43%
Price / FCF
41.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $5119.30, PGHL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 17.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 19.1% faster than its historical growth rate of -2.0%. This is optimistic but not impossible for a high-quality business. The stock leaves little room for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -2.0% | ₹1,311 | -74.4% |
| Half implied | 8.6% | ₹2,727 | -46.7% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹3,031 | -40.8% |
| Implied | 17.1% | ₹5,136 | +0.3% |
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.