Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for SHIVAMILLS?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
24.7% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 1.4%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹62
Historical Growth
1.4%
FCF Yield
1.64%
Price / FCF
60.8x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $61.58, SHIVAMILLS.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 24.7% per year for the next 10 years. That is 23.3% faster than its historical growth rate of 1.4%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | 1.4% | ₹1 | -98.1% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹12 | -79.8% |
| Half implied | 12.3% | ₹17 | -72.3% |
| Implied | 24.7% | ₹61 | -0.5% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.