Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for UTKARSHBNK?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

-27.9% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹14

Historical Growth

20.0%

FCF Yield

28.60%

Price / FCF

3.5x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $14.08, UTKARSHBNK.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -27.9% per year for the next 10 years. That is 47.9% slower than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Implied-27.9%₹14+0.1%
Half implied-13.9%₹23+63.7%
GDP rate10.0%₹100+608.1%
Historical20.0%₹208+1376.7%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 3 years for UTKARSHBNK to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 20.0%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.