Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for VEDL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
reasonable
10.6% implied annual FCF growth
The market's growth assumption looks achievable for a quality business. This is within normal range — the stock is not pricing in heroic execution.
Current Price
₹783
Historical Growth
-10.0%
FCF Yield
5.12%
Price / FCF
19.5x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $783.30, VEDL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 10.6% per year for the next 10 years. That is 20.6% faster than its historical growth rate of -10.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -10.0% | ₹33 | -95.8% |
| Half implied | 5.3% | ₹460 | -41.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹736 | -6.0% |
| Implied | 10.6% | ₹780 | -0.5% |
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.