Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for AGARIND?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-2.9% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹479
Historical Growth
-5.0%
FCF Yield
16.12%
Price / FCF
6.2x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹470.35, AGARIND.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -2.9% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.1% faster than its historical growth rate of -5.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -5.0% | ₹378 | -19.6% |
| Implied | -2.9% | ₹470 | +0.0% |
| Half implied | -1.5% | ₹545 | +15.8% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹1,564 | +232.4% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At -5.0% growth, the model values AGARIND at ₹378, below today's ₹479.
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.