Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for AGROPHOS?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
24.8% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at -3.2%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹33
Historical Growth
-3.2%
FCF Yield
1.96%
Price / FCF
50.9x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $33.34, AGROPHOS.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 24.8% per year for the next 10 years. That is 28.0% faster than its historical growth rate of -3.2%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -3.2% | ₹0 | -100.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹1 | -96.7% |
| Half implied | 12.4% | ₹4 | -87.3% |
| Implied | 24.8% | ₹33 | -0.1% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.