Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ALICON?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
4.6% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹659
Historical Growth
5.9%
FCF Yield
8.50%
Price / FCF
11.8x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹659.00, ALICON.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 4.6% per year for the next 10 years. That is 1.3% slower than its historical growth rate of 5.9%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 2.3% | ₹521 | -21.0% |
| Implied | 4.6% | ₹659 | +0.0% |
| Historical | 5.9% | ₹746 | +13.3% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹1,097 | +66.4% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 5.9% growth, the model values ALICON at ₹746, above today's ₹659.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.