Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for APLLTD?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
7.4% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹747
Historical Growth
20.0%
FCF Yield
4.52%
Price / FCF
22.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $747.45, APLLTD.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 7.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.6% slower than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 3.7% | ₹540 | -27.7% |
| Implied | 7.4% | ₹747 | -0.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹930 | +24.5% |
| Historical | 20.0% | ₹2,131 | +185.1% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for APLLTD to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 20.0%.
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.