Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ARIES?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-6.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹379
Historical Growth
5.3%
FCF Yield
14.76%
Price / FCF
6.8x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $379.15, ARIES.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -6.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 11.4% slower than its historical growth rate of 5.3%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied | -6.1% | ₹379 | +0.1% |
| Half implied | -3.0% | ₹474 | +25.1% |
| Historical | 5.3% | ₹894 | +135.8% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹1,285 | +239.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for ARIES to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 5.3%.
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.