Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for BAJAJ-AUTO?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
33.3% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 20.0%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹10,155
Historical Growth
20.0%
FCF Yield
0.66%
Price / FCF
151.3x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹10155.00, BAJAJ-AUTO.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 33.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 13.3% faster than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹1,098 | -89.2% |
| Half implied | 16.6% | ₹2,341 | -77.0% |
| Historical | 20.0% | ₹3,258 | -67.9% |
| Implied | 33.3% | ₹10,155 | +0.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 20.0% growth, the model values BAJAJ-AUTO at ₹3,258, below today's ₹10,155.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.