Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for CELLO?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
29.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 10.7%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹427
Historical Growth
10.7%
FCF Yield
1.00%
Price / FCF
99.8x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $427.25, CELLO.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 29.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 18.4% faster than its historical growth rate of 10.7%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹102 | -76.2% |
| Historical | 10.7% | ₹107 | -74.9% |
| Half implied | 14.5% | ₹143 | -66.5% |
| Implied | 29.1% | ₹427 | -0.0% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.