Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for CHEMCON?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
7.6% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹160
Historical Growth
-5.0%
FCF Yield
5.27%
Price / FCF
19.0x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $160.41, CHEMCON.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 7.6% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.6% faster than its historical growth rate of -5.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -5.0% | ₹60 | -62.9% |
| Half implied | 3.8% | ₹118 | -26.6% |
| Implied | 7.6% | ₹159 | -1.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹192 | +19.4% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.