Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for COALINDIA?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-0.5% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹444
Historical Growth
-3.1%
FCF Yield
10.99%
Price / FCF
9.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹443.50, COALINDIA.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -0.5% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.7% faster than its historical growth rate of -3.1%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
Adjust Assumptions
Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -3.1% | ₹368 | -16.9% |
| Implied | -0.5% | ₹444 | +0.0% |
| Half implied | -0.2% | ₹452 | +1.9% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹961 | +116.7% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At -3.1% growth, the model values COALINDIA at ₹368, below today's ₹444.
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.