Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for COFFEEDAY?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-0.7% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹34
Historical Growth
4.8%
FCF Yield
20.50%
Price / FCF
4.9x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹33.74, COFFEEDAY.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -0.7% per year for the next 10 years. That is 5.6% slower than its historical growth rate of 4.8%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied | -0.7% | ₹34 | +0.0% |
| Half implied | -0.4% | ₹36 | +5.6% |
| Historical | 4.8% | ₹70 | +108.7% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹123 | +264.3% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 4.8% growth, the model values COFFEEDAY at ₹70, above today's ₹34.
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.