Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for COFFEEDAY?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

0.8% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹26

Historical Growth

9.5%

FCF Yield

29.18%

Price / FCF

3.4x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $26.36, COFFEEDAY.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 0.8% per year for the next 10 years. That is 8.7% slower than its historical growth rate of 9.5%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Half implied0.4%₹24-9.5%
Implied0.8%₹27+1.0%
Historical9.5%₹110+316.8%
GDP rate10.0%₹116+340.0%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 3 years for COFFEEDAY to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 9.5%.

See full DCF analysis

Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.

Run Full Analysis →

This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.

COFFEEDAY Reverse DCF — Market Implies 0.8% FCF Growth | YieldIQ