Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for HCLTECH?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

5.9% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹1,285

Historical Growth

3.0%

FCF Yield

4.76%

Price / FCF

21.0x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $1285.20, HCLTECH.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 5.9% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.9% faster than its historical growth rate of 3.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

9.8%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Half implied2.9%₹1,027-20.1%
Historical3.0%₹1,033-19.6%
Implied5.9%₹1,294+0.7%
GDP rate10.0%₹1,799+40.0%

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.