Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for HPL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
aggressive
19.9% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in above-average growth. Achievable for a high-quality business but leaves limited margin for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
Current Price
₹360
Historical Growth
1.9%
FCF Yield
2.56%
Price / FCF
39.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $360.45, HPL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 19.9% per year for the next 10 years. That is 18.1% faster than its historical growth rate of 1.9%. This is optimistic but not impossible for a high-quality business. The stock leaves little room for error — any slowdown could hurt the price.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | 1.9% | ₹20 | -94.4% |
| Half implied | 10.0% | ₹118 | -67.2% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹119 | -67.0% |
| Implied | 19.9% | ₹364 | +0.9% |
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.