Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for ICDSLTD?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

very aggressive

23.3% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 2.0%. High execution risk.

Current Price

₹47

Historical Growth

2.0%

FCF Yield

1.57%

Price / FCF

63.9x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $46.72, ICDSLTD.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 23.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 21.3% faster than its historical growth rate of 2.0%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Historical2.0%₹9-80.7%
GDP rate10.0%₹17-64.1%
Half implied11.6%₹19-59.3%
Implied23.3%₹47+0.0%

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.