Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for IGCL?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

conservative

7.4% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.

Current Price

₹61

Historical Growth

3.1%

FCF Yield

7.39%

Price / FCF

13.5x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $61.00, IGCL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 7.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 4.4% faster than its historical growth rate of 3.1%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Historical3.1%₹37-39.8%
Half implied3.7%₹40-34.6%
Implied7.4%₹61+0.1%
GDP rate10.0%₹80+30.7%

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.