Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for IGPL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
1.8% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹422
Historical Growth
5.2%
FCF Yield
9.51%
Price / FCF
10.5x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $421.95, IGPL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 1.8% per year for the next 10 years. That is 3.4% slower than its historical growth rate of 5.2%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 0.9% | ₹387 | -8.3% |
| Implied | 1.8% | ₹420 | -0.6% |
| Historical | 5.2% | ₹566 | +34.2% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹851 | +101.7% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for IGPL to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 5.2%.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.