Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for IRCTC?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
reasonable
11.8% implied annual FCF growth
The market's growth assumption looks achievable — it is in line with or below what this company has historically delivered.
Current Price
₹512
Historical Growth
16.6%
FCF Yield
2.92%
Price / FCF
34.3x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹512.35, IRCTC.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 11.8% per year for the next 10 years. That is 4.8% slower than its historical growth rate of 16.6%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 5.9% | ₹320 | -37.6% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹441 | -13.8% |
| Implied | 11.8% | ₹512 | +0.0% |
| Historical | 16.6% | ₹744 | +45.3% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 16.6% growth, the model values IRCTC at ₹744, above today's ₹512.
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Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.