Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for ITC?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
1.3% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹284
Historical Growth
4.5%
FCF Yield
4.57%
Price / FCF
21.9x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹284.20, ITC.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 1.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 3.2% slower than its historical growth rate of 4.5%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
Adjust Assumptions
Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 0.6% | ₹271 | -4.6% |
| Implied | 1.3% | ₹284 | +0.0% |
| Historical | 4.5% | ₹380 | +33.7% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹608 | +114.1% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 4.5% growth, the model values ITC at ₹380, above today's ₹284.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.