Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for JOCIL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
21.0% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 10.8%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹128
Historical Growth
10.8%
FCF Yield
1.44%
Price / FCF
69.3x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $127.87, JOCIL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 21.0% per year for the next 10 years. That is 10.1% faster than its historical growth rate of 10.8%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹71 | -44.2% |
| Half implied | 10.5% | ₹73 | -42.9% |
| Historical | 10.8% | ₹74 | -41.9% |
| Implied | 21.0% | ₹128 | +0.2% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.