Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for MGL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
0.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹1,139
Historical Growth
2.1%
FCF Yield
9.15%
Price / FCF
10.9x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹1139.00, MGL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 0.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.1% slower than its historical growth rate of 2.1%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 0.0% | ₹1,139 | -0.0% |
| Implied | 0.1% | ₹1,139 | +0.0% |
| Historical | 2.1% | ₹1,333 | +17.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹2,426 | +113.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 2.1% growth, the model values MGL at ₹1,333, above today's ₹1,139.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.