Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for NDL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-4.5% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹3
Historical Growth
18.0%
FCF Yield
19.96%
Price / FCF
5.0x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $3.01, NDL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -4.5% per year for the next 10 years. That is 22.5% slower than its historical growth rate of 18.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied | -4.5% | ₹3 | +0.6% |
| Half implied | -2.3% | ₹4 | +28.1% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹12 | +307.3% |
| Historical | 18.0% | ₹24 | +701.7% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for NDL to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 18.0%.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, Monte Carlo, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.