Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for NELCAST?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
7.3% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹139
Historical Growth
4.4%
FCF Yield
6.09%
Price / FCF
16.4x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹139.36, NELCAST.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 7.3% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.9% faster than its historical growth rate of 4.4%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 3.6% | ₹102 | -27.0% |
| Historical | 4.4% | ₹109 | -21.8% |
| Implied | 7.3% | ₹139 | +0.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹178 | +27.4% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 4.4% growth, the model values NELCAST at ₹109, below today's ₹139.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.