Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for NMDC?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
reasonable
17.5% implied annual FCF growth
The market's growth assumption looks achievable — it is in line with or below what this company has historically delivered.
Current Price
₹88
Historical Growth
15.0%
FCF Yield
2.35%
Price / FCF
42.6x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹88.47, NMDC.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 17.5% per year for the next 10 years. That is 2.5% faster than its historical growth rate of 15.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Half implied | 8.7% | ₹42 | -53.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹47 | -47.3% |
| Historical | 15.0% | ₹72 | -18.1% |
| Implied | 17.5% | ₹88 | +0.0% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At 15.0% growth, the model values NMDC at ₹72, below today's ₹88.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.