Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for PGIL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
32.6% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 20.0%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹1,544
Historical Growth
20.0%
FCF Yield
0.80%
Price / FCF
124.4x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $1543.70, PGIL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 32.6% per year for the next 10 years. That is 12.6% faster than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹232 | -85.0% |
| Half implied | 16.3% | ₹411 | -73.4% |
| Historical | 20.0% | ₹565 | -63.4% |
| Implied | 32.6% | ₹1,541 | -0.2% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.