Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for PHOENIXLTD?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

reasonable

15.7% implied annual FCF growth

The market's growth assumption looks achievable — it is in line with or below what this company has historically delivered.

Current Price

₹1,782

Historical Growth

20.0%

FCF Yield

2.33%

Price / FCF

42.9x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $1781.90, PHOENIXLTD.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 15.7% per year for the next 10 years. That is 4.3% slower than its historical growth rate of 20.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.

Adjust Assumptions

9.8%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
Half implied7.9%₹899-49.5%
GDP rate10.0%₹1,091-38.8%
Implied15.7%₹1,791+0.5%
Historical20.0%₹2,566+44.0%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 7 years for PHOENIXLTD to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 20.0%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.