Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for SAIL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
7.1% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹182
Historical Growth
-1.5%
FCF Yield
9.42%
Price / FCF
10.6x
Plain English
To justify today's price of ₹181.72, SAIL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 7.1% per year for the next 10 years. That is 8.6% faster than its historical growth rate of -1.5%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -1.5% | ₹57 | -68.4% |
| Half implied | 3.5% | ₹120 | -34.1% |
| Implied | 7.1% | ₹182 | +0.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹246 | +35.1% |
At Historical Growth Rate
DCF horizon: 10 years. At -1.5% growth, the model values SAIL at ₹57, below today's ₹182.
See full DCF analysis
Bear/base/bull scenarios, sensitivity heatmap, reverse DCF, and more.
Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.