Reverse DCF

What growth does the market imply for SMLMAH?

Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.

very aggressive

20.4% implied annual FCF growth

The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at 14.8%. High execution risk.

Current Price

₹3,917

Historical Growth

14.8%

FCF Yield

2.04%

Price / FCF

49.1x

Plain English

To justify today's price of $3916.80, SMLMAH.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 20.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 5.6% faster than its historical growth rate of 14.8%. At its historical growth rate, the stock would take 18 years to justify today's price. The market is effectively paying for a perfect future.

Adjust Assumptions

11.1%
6%13%20%
4.0%
0%3%6%

Growth Scenarios

What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions

ScenarioFCF GrowthImplied IVMoS vs Price
GDP rate10.0%₹1,632-58.3%
Half implied10.2%₹1,664-57.5%
Historical14.8%₹2,470-36.9%
Implied20.4%₹3,916-0.0%

At Historical Growth Rate

It would take 18 years for SMLMAH to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of 14.8%.

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This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.