Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for SPLIL?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
conservative
-12.4% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in below-GDP growth — very conservative assumption. If the company delivers anywhere near its historical rate, there is significant upside.
Current Price
₹33
Historical Growth
-5.0%
FCF Yield
21.25%
Price / FCF
4.7x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $32.71, SPLIL.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at -12.4% per year for the next 10 years. That is 7.4% slower than its historical growth rate of -5.0%. This looks achievable — the market is not pricing in heroic assumptions. There may be genuine upside if the company executes.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied | -12.4% | ₹33 | -0.4% |
| Half implied | -6.2% | ₹49 | +49.9% |
| Historical | -5.0% | ₹53 | +63.0% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹162 | +395.2% |
At Historical Growth Rate
It would take 3 years for SPLIL to organically grow into today's price assuming its historical FCF growth of -5.0%.
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.