Reverse DCF
What growth does the market imply for SUMICHEM?
Working backwards from the current price to find the FCF growth assumption baked in.
very aggressive
24.5% implied annual FCF growth
The market is pricing in exceptional growth that only a handful of companies sustain for a decade. For context, this company has historically grown at -4.9%. High execution risk.
Current Price
₹425
Historical Growth
-4.9%
FCF Yield
1.88%
Price / FCF
53.1x
Plain English
To justify today's price of $424.90, SUMICHEM.NS needs to grow its free cash flow at 24.5% per year for the next 10 years. That is 29.4% faster than its historical growth rate of -4.9%. At its historical growth rate, the stock cannot justify its current price within a 20-year horizon. The market is pricing in a step-change in performance.
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Growth Scenarios
What the stock is worth at different growth assumptions
| Scenario | FCF Growth | Implied IV | MoS vs Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Historical | -4.9% | ₹52 | -87.9% |
| GDP rate | 10.0% | ₹147 | -65.4% |
| Half implied | 12.2% | ₹173 | -59.2% |
| Implied | 24.5% | ₹428 | +0.6% |
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Run Full Analysis →This is an analytical tool, not investment advice. Implied growth is a mathematical inversion of the DCF model and depends on WACC and terminal growth assumptions. YieldIQ is not registered with SEBI as an investment adviser.